Iran: Hard-line victory by default
- Iran’s parliamentary elections on 21 February are set to be a shoo-in victory for conservative MPs, giving them a large majority of seats.
- Iran’s vetting body, the Guardian Council, rejected a record number of reformist candidates, including allies of President Hassan Rouhani. Their disqualification has triggered a backlash from politicians and citizens alike, with the potential for unrest to emerge around election time.
- The default conservative victory will bring years of reformist dominance in Iran to an end. It will make Iranian domestic and foreign policy more hard-line and hostile towards the West.
Florence Eid-Oakden, Ph.D, Chief Economist
Charlene Rahall, Senior Analyst
Leila Lajevardi, Analyst
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