Iran: A hardliner victory by default

Country Views
L’IRAN : UNE VICTOIRE HARD-LINE PAR DÉFAUT

As another round of JCPOA negotiations close with no deal on the cards just yet, the Islamic Republic is gearing up for its Presidential election on 18 June. This week, we zoom in on the electoral process, focusing on: 

  • Accusations that Iran’s electoral process is rigged as most of the candidates have been barred by the Guardian Council, squeezing reformists out of the race and making it a shoo-in for the Ayatollah, Ali Khamenei’s favourite, cleric Ebrahim Raisi. 
  • Expectations of high levels of voter apathy as it comes amidst rising public discontent and economic distress. 
  • The growing influence of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps in the event of the election of a hardline president, as the Revolutionary Guards will be in harmony with other state institutions.

 

Florence Eid-Oakden, Ph.D, Chief Economist

Ghalia Al Bajali, Leila Lajevardi, Analysts

The Country Views series shines the spotlight on specific developments in MENA countries, analysing them from a local perspective to deliver forward looking views for businesses and investors.

To access this report, please click here.

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