COVID-19: Political tipping points

Regional Views
COVID-19: Political tipping points
  • Iran, the MENA country hardest hit by COVID-19, is leveraging the virus to push for sanctions relief internationally, while domestically struggling with an emerging factional rivalry.
  • Political unrest defies the pandemic in various spots, and could regain momentum once lockdowns end if demands remain unmet, and as economies register the impact.
  • We are witnessing a potential humanitarian disaster as civil war and the virus tax the poorly functioning medical sectors in Libya, Syria and Yemen.

Florence Eid-Oakden, Ph.D, Chief Economist

Charlene Rahall, Senior Analyst

Leila Lajevardi & Nancy Bou Dakka, Analysts


The Regional Views series are thematic papers aimed at identifying and analysing factors behind medium to long-term economic trends shaping the region. Our analysis draws conclusions that help businesses and investors get ahead of the curve. As a firm staffed by Middle Easterners, we focus on insight rather than standard analysis.

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