Arab Spring 2.0: From Iraq to Lebanon

Arabia Monitor Monthly
Arab Spring 2.0: From Iraq to Lebanon
  • A worst-case scenario in Iraq sees public protests taking a more violent turn, especially as reports continue to emerge of agents provocateur, infiltrating the demonstrations.
  • As per our baseline scenario, the Lebanese government resignation means another power vacuum. Previous vacuums have not destabilised the country, but they have imperilled the policy-making process.
  • While regional financial support has greatly reduced near-term pressures on Bahrain, we still find risks to the outlook to be on the downside.
  • The UAE continues to lure Chinese tourists to spend in the emirates by offering instant VAT refunds via WeChat.

 

Florence Eid-Oakden, Ph.D, Chief Economist

Robin Mills, Energy Analyst

Charlene Rahall, Mingqiao Zhao, Analysts 

Arabia Monitor’s MENA Monthly publication provides a timely snapshot of most notable recent developments in the dynamic MENA region. Our analysts get past the news to deliver the core, forward looking conclusions that markets-oriented readers look for.

To access this report, please click here.

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