Arab Spring 2.0: From Iraq to Lebanon
Arabia Monitor Monthly
- A worst-case scenario in Iraq sees public protests taking a more violent turn, especially as reports continue to emerge of agents provocateur, infiltrating the demonstrations.
- As per our baseline scenario, the Lebanese government resignation means another power vacuum. Previous vacuums have not destabilised the country, but they have imperilled the policy-making process.
- While regional financial support has greatly reduced near-term pressures on Bahrain, we still find risks to the outlook to be on the downside.
- The UAE continues to lure Chinese tourists to spend in the emirates by offering instant VAT refunds via WeChat.
Florence Eid-Oakden, Ph.D, Chief Economist
Robin Mills, Energy Analyst
Charlene Rahall, Mingqiao Zhao, Analysts
Arabia Monitor’s MENA Monthly publication provides a timely snapshot of most notable recent developments in the dynamic MENA region. Our analysts get past the news to deliver the core, forward looking conclusions that markets-oriented readers look for.
To access this report, please click here.