A winter of discontent

A winter of discontent

Protests in Iraq are well into their second month. The likelihood of Lebanon restructuring its debt over the next two quarters remains low.
IRAN: DOWN, BUT NOT OUT

IRAN: DOWN, BUT NOT OUT

Protests in neighbouring Iraq have challenged Iran’s influence in that country. Initially, demonstrations were over local grievances, but this has morphed into a protest against Iranian intervention.
SAUDI ARABIA: TOWARD FDI RECOVERY

SAUDI ARABIA: TOWARD FDI RECOVERY

Uncertainty regarding the global economic slowdown and its potential effect on the oil market could soften Saudi growth, although the non-oil economy will strengthen.
Our quarterly regional theme reviews MENA-China relations in light of the Belt & Road Initiative (BRI).

THE DESERT & THE DRAGON: NEW SYNERGIES, OLD CHALLENGES

Our quarterly regional theme reviews MENA-China relations in light of the Belt & Road Initiative (BRI).
UAE: INFRASTRUCTURE LAW REVISED TO BOOST FDI

UAE: Infrastructure law revised to boost FDI

With Expo 2020 Dubai set to open 12 months from now, construction in the emirate has been rapid. We draw upon the experiences of previous hosts of such world fairs to identify potential rewards and risks, both tangible and intangible.
IRAQ: GROWTH RECOVERY DESPITE STRUCTURAL WOES

IRAQ: GROWTH RECOVERY DESPITE STRUCTURAL WOES

Higher oil output should boost growth, but structural vulnerabilities, particularly high unemployment and a growing population, are being left unattended by the absence of any major legislative action.
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LIBYA: ECONOMICALLY DAMAGING STALEMATE AT BEST, SUSTAINED VIOLENCE AT WORST

LIBYA: ECONOMICALLY DAMAGING STALEMATE AT BEST, SUSTAINED VIOLENCE AT WORST

The IMF expects 2019 real GDP at 4.3% based on oil production at around 1 Mb/d. But such growth will be difficult to attain in a country in conflict and with the oil sector subject to constant supply disruptions.
EGYPT: AWAITING TRICKLE-DOWN

EGYPT: AWAITING TRICKLE-DOWN

Egypt’s economic growth outlook remains favourable, but sustained reform implementation will be critical if the benefits are to trickle down to the average citizen.
QATAR: WHAT DOESN'T KILL YOU MAKES YOU STRONGER

QATAR: WHAT DOESN'T KILL YOU MAKES YOU STRONGER

Qatar's economy has not only, as we expected, successfully absorbed the shocks from its neighbours’ boycott two years ago, it has strengthened -- particularly in banking and foreign reserves.